Date: Monday 24th - Thursday 27th January 2022 Time: Lectures 09:00-12:00 on the 24th & 27th. Separate forum setup for practical exercises between the 24th-26th. Speakers: Sebastian Weber and Gaëlle Saint-Hilary
Who is this event intended for? All statisticians working on clinical trials, with a basic knowledge of R. Some notions of Bayesian statistics could be helpful. What is the benefit of attending? Attendees will have the chance to cover; Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing designs based on the meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model; Design planning, operating characteristics, statistical analysis; and Applications using the R package RBesT.
Course Cost
Regular Members = £340+VAT Regular Non-Members = £465*+VAT
*Please note: Non-Member rates include PSI membership until 31 Dec. 2022.
There is an intrinsic interest of leveraging all available information for an efficient design and analysis of clinical trials. Including external data in the analysis of clinical trials may increase study power or allow for the reduction of (usually) the control group sample size. The use of external data in trials are nowadays used in earlier phases of drug development (Trippa, Rosnerand Muller, 2012; French, Thomas and Wang, 2012; Hueber et al., 2012; Smith et al., 2019), occasionally in phase III trials (French et al., 2012; Viele et al., 2018), and also in special areas such as medical devices (FDA, 2010a), orphan indications (Dupont and Van Wilder, 2011) and extrapolation in pediatric studies (Berry, 1989; Best et al., 2019). This allows adequately powered trials at smaller sample sizes leading to faster trial conduct and exposure of fewer patients to a potentially in-effective control treatment.
In this short course, we will provide a statistical framework to incorporate external information into a trial. During the first part of the course, we will introduce Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing designs based on the meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model (Neuenschwander et al., 2010). The MAP model is a Bayesian hierarchical model, which combines the evidence from different potentially heterogeneous sources. Dynamic borrowing permits to limit the use of historical data when it is incompatible with the data observed within the trial.
In the second part of the course, we will propose a practice session with applications using the R package RBesT, the R Bayesian evidence synthesis tools, which are freely available from CRAN. These exercises will enable participants to apply the presented approach themselves. During third and last part of the course, more advanced topics will be detailed such as effective and maximum sample sizes, advanced operating characteristics, and probability of success.
Agenda
Lecture session 1 (morning of Monday 24th January (09:00-12:00))
• Meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model
• Robustification for dynamic borrowing
• Design planning, operating characteristics
• Final analysis Practice sessions (afternoon of Monday 24th, all day Tuesday 25th, all day Wednesday 26th)
• Supervised homework, set-up in a separate forum Lecture session 2 (morning of Thursday 27th January (09:00-12:00))
• Effective sample size, maximum sample size
• Advanced operating characteristics
• Equivalence between MAP and MAC (Meta-analysis combined)
• Probability of success, decision rule
Speaker details
Speaker
Biography
Gaëlle Saint-Hilary
Gaëlle Saint-Hilary is Statistical Methodologist, CEO and founder of the consulting company Saryga (France). Prior to this role, Gaëlle was Statistical Methodologist at Servier until December 2021. With more than 15 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry (Servier, Novartis) and a strong and long-lasting collaboration with academia, Gaëlle Saint-Hilary is an expert in Bayesian statistics and decision-making support. She has worked at developing novel approaches to improve drug development’s performances, and her main scientific interests are quantitative decision-making, benefit-risk assessment, innovative study designs and historical data.
Sebastian Weber
Sebastian Weber is working as Director in the Department of Advanced Methodology and Data Science at Novartis. He holds a PhD in Physics from the TU Darmstadt and joined Novartis 8+ years ago. He has worked extensively on enabling the use of historical (control) information in clinical trials through consulting and working on tools to facilitate the application of historical control information from trial design to analysis. Furthermore, Sebastian has experience in designing Oncology phase I dose-escalation trails and is also involved in pediatric drug development programs, where he applies extrapolation concepts. His research interests include the application of pharmacometrics in statistics, model-based drug development and application of Bayesian methods for drug development.
Disclaimer
PSI is a non-profit organisation run by volunteers. Many of the event organisers and presenters donate their time, while the majority of the event registration cost is spent on administrative support, venue rental / online conferencing, travel costs for the presenter, software licences, and general running of the society. PSI strives to offer high quality courses, but cannot offer a guarantee that the content presented is accurate or fit for your particular needs. Please check if any software is required for this course and ensure you are able to run it prior to registering.
Cancellation and Moderation Terms For cancellations received up to two weeks prior to a PSI event start-date, the event registration fee will be refunded less 25% administrative charge. After this date, no refunds will be possible. A handling fee of 20 GBP per registration will be charged for every registration modification received two weeks prior or less, including a delegate name change.
Scientific Meetings
PSI Training Course: Use of Historical Data in Clinical Trials: An Evidence Synthesis Approach
Date: Monday 24th - Thursday 27th January 2022 Time: Lectures 09:00-12:00 on the 24th & 27th. Separate forum setup for practical exercises between the 24th-26th. Speakers: Sebastian Weber and Gaëlle Saint-Hilary
Who is this event intended for? All statisticians working on clinical trials, with a basic knowledge of R. Some notions of Bayesian statistics could be helpful. What is the benefit of attending? Attendees will have the chance to cover; Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing designs based on the meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model; Design planning, operating characteristics, statistical analysis; and Applications using the R package RBesT.
Course Cost
Regular Members = £340+VAT Regular Non-Members = £465*+VAT
*Please note: Non-Member rates include PSI membership until 31 Dec. 2022.
There is an intrinsic interest of leveraging all available information for an efficient design and analysis of clinical trials. Including external data in the analysis of clinical trials may increase study power or allow for the reduction of (usually) the control group sample size. The use of external data in trials are nowadays used in earlier phases of drug development (Trippa, Rosnerand Muller, 2012; French, Thomas and Wang, 2012; Hueber et al., 2012; Smith et al., 2019), occasionally in phase III trials (French et al., 2012; Viele et al., 2018), and also in special areas such as medical devices (FDA, 2010a), orphan indications (Dupont and Van Wilder, 2011) and extrapolation in pediatric studies (Berry, 1989; Best et al., 2019). This allows adequately powered trials at smaller sample sizes leading to faster trial conduct and exposure of fewer patients to a potentially in-effective control treatment.
In this short course, we will provide a statistical framework to incorporate external information into a trial. During the first part of the course, we will introduce Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing designs based on the meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model (Neuenschwander et al., 2010). The MAP model is a Bayesian hierarchical model, which combines the evidence from different potentially heterogeneous sources. Dynamic borrowing permits to limit the use of historical data when it is incompatible with the data observed within the trial.
In the second part of the course, we will propose a practice session with applications using the R package RBesT, the R Bayesian evidence synthesis tools, which are freely available from CRAN. These exercises will enable participants to apply the presented approach themselves. During third and last part of the course, more advanced topics will be detailed such as effective and maximum sample sizes, advanced operating characteristics, and probability of success.
Agenda
Lecture session 1 (morning of Monday 24th January (09:00-12:00))
• Meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model
• Robustification for dynamic borrowing
• Design planning, operating characteristics
• Final analysis Practice sessions (afternoon of Monday 24th, all day Tuesday 25th, all day Wednesday 26th)
• Supervised homework, set-up in a separate forum Lecture session 2 (morning of Thursday 27th January (09:00-12:00))
• Effective sample size, maximum sample size
• Advanced operating characteristics
• Equivalence between MAP and MAC (Meta-analysis combined)
• Probability of success, decision rule
Speaker details
Speaker
Biography
Gaëlle Saint-Hilary
Gaëlle Saint-Hilary is Statistical Methodologist, CEO and founder of the consulting company Saryga (France). Prior to this role, Gaëlle was Statistical Methodologist at Servier until December 2021. With more than 15 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry (Servier, Novartis) and a strong and long-lasting collaboration with academia, Gaëlle Saint-Hilary is an expert in Bayesian statistics and decision-making support. She has worked at developing novel approaches to improve drug development’s performances, and her main scientific interests are quantitative decision-making, benefit-risk assessment, innovative study designs and historical data.
Sebastian Weber
Sebastian Weber is working as Director in the Department of Advanced Methodology and Data Science at Novartis. He holds a PhD in Physics from the TU Darmstadt and joined Novartis 8+ years ago. He has worked extensively on enabling the use of historical (control) information in clinical trials through consulting and working on tools to facilitate the application of historical control information from trial design to analysis. Furthermore, Sebastian has experience in designing Oncology phase I dose-escalation trails and is also involved in pediatric drug development programs, where he applies extrapolation concepts. His research interests include the application of pharmacometrics in statistics, model-based drug development and application of Bayesian methods for drug development.
Disclaimer
PSI is a non-profit organisation run by volunteers. Many of the event organisers and presenters donate their time, while the majority of the event registration cost is spent on administrative support, venue rental / online conferencing, travel costs for the presenter, software licences, and general running of the society. PSI strives to offer high quality courses, but cannot offer a guarantee that the content presented is accurate or fit for your particular needs. Please check if any software is required for this course and ensure you are able to run it prior to registering.
Cancellation and Moderation Terms For cancellations received up to two weeks prior to a PSI event start-date, the event registration fee will be refunded less 25% administrative charge. After this date, no refunds will be possible. A handling fee of 20 GBP per registration will be charged for every registration modification received two weeks prior or less, including a delegate name change.
Training Courses
PSI Training Course: Use of Historical Data in Clinical Trials: An Evidence Synthesis Approach
Date: Monday 24th - Thursday 27th January 2022 Time: Lectures 09:00-12:00 on the 24th & 27th. Separate forum setup for practical exercises between the 24th-26th. Speakers: Sebastian Weber and Gaëlle Saint-Hilary
Who is this event intended for? All statisticians working on clinical trials, with a basic knowledge of R. Some notions of Bayesian statistics could be helpful. What is the benefit of attending? Attendees will have the chance to cover; Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing designs based on the meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model; Design planning, operating characteristics, statistical analysis; and Applications using the R package RBesT.
Course Cost
Regular Members = £340+VAT Regular Non-Members = £465*+VAT
*Please note: Non-Member rates include PSI membership until 31 Dec. 2022.
There is an intrinsic interest of leveraging all available information for an efficient design and analysis of clinical trials. Including external data in the analysis of clinical trials may increase study power or allow for the reduction of (usually) the control group sample size. The use of external data in trials are nowadays used in earlier phases of drug development (Trippa, Rosnerand Muller, 2012; French, Thomas and Wang, 2012; Hueber et al., 2012; Smith et al., 2019), occasionally in phase III trials (French et al., 2012; Viele et al., 2018), and also in special areas such as medical devices (FDA, 2010a), orphan indications (Dupont and Van Wilder, 2011) and extrapolation in pediatric studies (Berry, 1989; Best et al., 2019). This allows adequately powered trials at smaller sample sizes leading to faster trial conduct and exposure of fewer patients to a potentially in-effective control treatment.
In this short course, we will provide a statistical framework to incorporate external information into a trial. During the first part of the course, we will introduce Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing designs based on the meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model (Neuenschwander et al., 2010). The MAP model is a Bayesian hierarchical model, which combines the evidence from different potentially heterogeneous sources. Dynamic borrowing permits to limit the use of historical data when it is incompatible with the data observed within the trial.
In the second part of the course, we will propose a practice session with applications using the R package RBesT, the R Bayesian evidence synthesis tools, which are freely available from CRAN. These exercises will enable participants to apply the presented approach themselves. During third and last part of the course, more advanced topics will be detailed such as effective and maximum sample sizes, advanced operating characteristics, and probability of success.
Agenda
Lecture session 1 (morning of Monday 24th January (09:00-12:00))
• Meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model
• Robustification for dynamic borrowing
• Design planning, operating characteristics
• Final analysis Practice sessions (afternoon of Monday 24th, all day Tuesday 25th, all day Wednesday 26th)
• Supervised homework, set-up in a separate forum Lecture session 2 (morning of Thursday 27th January (09:00-12:00))
• Effective sample size, maximum sample size
• Advanced operating characteristics
• Equivalence between MAP and MAC (Meta-analysis combined)
• Probability of success, decision rule
Speaker details
Speaker
Biography
Gaëlle Saint-Hilary
Gaëlle Saint-Hilary is Statistical Methodologist, CEO and founder of the consulting company Saryga (France). Prior to this role, Gaëlle was Statistical Methodologist at Servier until December 2021. With more than 15 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry (Servier, Novartis) and a strong and long-lasting collaboration with academia, Gaëlle Saint-Hilary is an expert in Bayesian statistics and decision-making support. She has worked at developing novel approaches to improve drug development’s performances, and her main scientific interests are quantitative decision-making, benefit-risk assessment, innovative study designs and historical data.
Sebastian Weber
Sebastian Weber is working as Director in the Department of Advanced Methodology and Data Science at Novartis. He holds a PhD in Physics from the TU Darmstadt and joined Novartis 8+ years ago. He has worked extensively on enabling the use of historical (control) information in clinical trials through consulting and working on tools to facilitate the application of historical control information from trial design to analysis. Furthermore, Sebastian has experience in designing Oncology phase I dose-escalation trails and is also involved in pediatric drug development programs, where he applies extrapolation concepts. His research interests include the application of pharmacometrics in statistics, model-based drug development and application of Bayesian methods for drug development.
Disclaimer
PSI is a non-profit organisation run by volunteers. Many of the event organisers and presenters donate their time, while the majority of the event registration cost is spent on administrative support, venue rental / online conferencing, travel costs for the presenter, software licences, and general running of the society. PSI strives to offer high quality courses, but cannot offer a guarantee that the content presented is accurate or fit for your particular needs. Please check if any software is required for this course and ensure you are able to run it prior to registering.
Cancellation and Moderation Terms For cancellations received up to two weeks prior to a PSI event start-date, the event registration fee will be refunded less 25% administrative charge. After this date, no refunds will be possible. A handling fee of 20 GBP per registration will be charged for every registration modification received two weeks prior or less, including a delegate name change.
Journal Club
PSI Training Course: Use of Historical Data in Clinical Trials: An Evidence Synthesis Approach
Date: Monday 24th - Thursday 27th January 2022 Time: Lectures 09:00-12:00 on the 24th & 27th. Separate forum setup for practical exercises between the 24th-26th. Speakers: Sebastian Weber and Gaëlle Saint-Hilary
Who is this event intended for? All statisticians working on clinical trials, with a basic knowledge of R. Some notions of Bayesian statistics could be helpful. What is the benefit of attending? Attendees will have the chance to cover; Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing designs based on the meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model; Design planning, operating characteristics, statistical analysis; and Applications using the R package RBesT.
Course Cost
Regular Members = £340+VAT Regular Non-Members = £465*+VAT
*Please note: Non-Member rates include PSI membership until 31 Dec. 2022.
There is an intrinsic interest of leveraging all available information for an efficient design and analysis of clinical trials. Including external data in the analysis of clinical trials may increase study power or allow for the reduction of (usually) the control group sample size. The use of external data in trials are nowadays used in earlier phases of drug development (Trippa, Rosnerand Muller, 2012; French, Thomas and Wang, 2012; Hueber et al., 2012; Smith et al., 2019), occasionally in phase III trials (French et al., 2012; Viele et al., 2018), and also in special areas such as medical devices (FDA, 2010a), orphan indications (Dupont and Van Wilder, 2011) and extrapolation in pediatric studies (Berry, 1989; Best et al., 2019). This allows adequately powered trials at smaller sample sizes leading to faster trial conduct and exposure of fewer patients to a potentially in-effective control treatment.
In this short course, we will provide a statistical framework to incorporate external information into a trial. During the first part of the course, we will introduce Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing designs based on the meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model (Neuenschwander et al., 2010). The MAP model is a Bayesian hierarchical model, which combines the evidence from different potentially heterogeneous sources. Dynamic borrowing permits to limit the use of historical data when it is incompatible with the data observed within the trial.
In the second part of the course, we will propose a practice session with applications using the R package RBesT, the R Bayesian evidence synthesis tools, which are freely available from CRAN. These exercises will enable participants to apply the presented approach themselves. During third and last part of the course, more advanced topics will be detailed such as effective and maximum sample sizes, advanced operating characteristics, and probability of success.
Agenda
Lecture session 1 (morning of Monday 24th January (09:00-12:00))
• Meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model
• Robustification for dynamic borrowing
• Design planning, operating characteristics
• Final analysis Practice sessions (afternoon of Monday 24th, all day Tuesday 25th, all day Wednesday 26th)
• Supervised homework, set-up in a separate forum Lecture session 2 (morning of Thursday 27th January (09:00-12:00))
• Effective sample size, maximum sample size
• Advanced operating characteristics
• Equivalence between MAP and MAC (Meta-analysis combined)
• Probability of success, decision rule
Speaker details
Speaker
Biography
Gaëlle Saint-Hilary
Gaëlle Saint-Hilary is Statistical Methodologist, CEO and founder of the consulting company Saryga (France). Prior to this role, Gaëlle was Statistical Methodologist at Servier until December 2021. With more than 15 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry (Servier, Novartis) and a strong and long-lasting collaboration with academia, Gaëlle Saint-Hilary is an expert in Bayesian statistics and decision-making support. She has worked at developing novel approaches to improve drug development’s performances, and her main scientific interests are quantitative decision-making, benefit-risk assessment, innovative study designs and historical data.
Sebastian Weber
Sebastian Weber is working as Director in the Department of Advanced Methodology and Data Science at Novartis. He holds a PhD in Physics from the TU Darmstadt and joined Novartis 8+ years ago. He has worked extensively on enabling the use of historical (control) information in clinical trials through consulting and working on tools to facilitate the application of historical control information from trial design to analysis. Furthermore, Sebastian has experience in designing Oncology phase I dose-escalation trails and is also involved in pediatric drug development programs, where he applies extrapolation concepts. His research interests include the application of pharmacometrics in statistics, model-based drug development and application of Bayesian methods for drug development.
Disclaimer
PSI is a non-profit organisation run by volunteers. Many of the event organisers and presenters donate their time, while the majority of the event registration cost is spent on administrative support, venue rental / online conferencing, travel costs for the presenter, software licences, and general running of the society. PSI strives to offer high quality courses, but cannot offer a guarantee that the content presented is accurate or fit for your particular needs. Please check if any software is required for this course and ensure you are able to run it prior to registering.
Cancellation and Moderation Terms For cancellations received up to two weeks prior to a PSI event start-date, the event registration fee will be refunded less 25% administrative charge. After this date, no refunds will be possible. A handling fee of 20 GBP per registration will be charged for every registration modification received two weeks prior or less, including a delegate name change.
Webinars
PSI Training Course: Use of Historical Data in Clinical Trials: An Evidence Synthesis Approach
Date: Monday 24th - Thursday 27th January 2022 Time: Lectures 09:00-12:00 on the 24th & 27th. Separate forum setup for practical exercises between the 24th-26th. Speakers: Sebastian Weber and Gaëlle Saint-Hilary
Who is this event intended for? All statisticians working on clinical trials, with a basic knowledge of R. Some notions of Bayesian statistics could be helpful. What is the benefit of attending? Attendees will have the chance to cover; Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing designs based on the meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model; Design planning, operating characteristics, statistical analysis; and Applications using the R package RBesT.
Course Cost
Regular Members = £340+VAT Regular Non-Members = £465*+VAT
*Please note: Non-Member rates include PSI membership until 31 Dec. 2022.
There is an intrinsic interest of leveraging all available information for an efficient design and analysis of clinical trials. Including external data in the analysis of clinical trials may increase study power or allow for the reduction of (usually) the control group sample size. The use of external data in trials are nowadays used in earlier phases of drug development (Trippa, Rosnerand Muller, 2012; French, Thomas and Wang, 2012; Hueber et al., 2012; Smith et al., 2019), occasionally in phase III trials (French et al., 2012; Viele et al., 2018), and also in special areas such as medical devices (FDA, 2010a), orphan indications (Dupont and Van Wilder, 2011) and extrapolation in pediatric studies (Berry, 1989; Best et al., 2019). This allows adequately powered trials at smaller sample sizes leading to faster trial conduct and exposure of fewer patients to a potentially in-effective control treatment.
In this short course, we will provide a statistical framework to incorporate external information into a trial. During the first part of the course, we will introduce Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing designs based on the meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model (Neuenschwander et al., 2010). The MAP model is a Bayesian hierarchical model, which combines the evidence from different potentially heterogeneous sources. Dynamic borrowing permits to limit the use of historical data when it is incompatible with the data observed within the trial.
In the second part of the course, we will propose a practice session with applications using the R package RBesT, the R Bayesian evidence synthesis tools, which are freely available from CRAN. These exercises will enable participants to apply the presented approach themselves. During third and last part of the course, more advanced topics will be detailed such as effective and maximum sample sizes, advanced operating characteristics, and probability of success.
Agenda
Lecture session 1 (morning of Monday 24th January (09:00-12:00))
• Meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model
• Robustification for dynamic borrowing
• Design planning, operating characteristics
• Final analysis Practice sessions (afternoon of Monday 24th, all day Tuesday 25th, all day Wednesday 26th)
• Supervised homework, set-up in a separate forum Lecture session 2 (morning of Thursday 27th January (09:00-12:00))
• Effective sample size, maximum sample size
• Advanced operating characteristics
• Equivalence between MAP and MAC (Meta-analysis combined)
• Probability of success, decision rule
Speaker details
Speaker
Biography
Gaëlle Saint-Hilary
Gaëlle Saint-Hilary is Statistical Methodologist, CEO and founder of the consulting company Saryga (France). Prior to this role, Gaëlle was Statistical Methodologist at Servier until December 2021. With more than 15 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry (Servier, Novartis) and a strong and long-lasting collaboration with academia, Gaëlle Saint-Hilary is an expert in Bayesian statistics and decision-making support. She has worked at developing novel approaches to improve drug development’s performances, and her main scientific interests are quantitative decision-making, benefit-risk assessment, innovative study designs and historical data.
Sebastian Weber
Sebastian Weber is working as Director in the Department of Advanced Methodology and Data Science at Novartis. He holds a PhD in Physics from the TU Darmstadt and joined Novartis 8+ years ago. He has worked extensively on enabling the use of historical (control) information in clinical trials through consulting and working on tools to facilitate the application of historical control information from trial design to analysis. Furthermore, Sebastian has experience in designing Oncology phase I dose-escalation trails and is also involved in pediatric drug development programs, where he applies extrapolation concepts. His research interests include the application of pharmacometrics in statistics, model-based drug development and application of Bayesian methods for drug development.
Disclaimer
PSI is a non-profit organisation run by volunteers. Many of the event organisers and presenters donate their time, while the majority of the event registration cost is spent on administrative support, venue rental / online conferencing, travel costs for the presenter, software licences, and general running of the society. PSI strives to offer high quality courses, but cannot offer a guarantee that the content presented is accurate or fit for your particular needs. Please check if any software is required for this course and ensure you are able to run it prior to registering.
Cancellation and Moderation Terms For cancellations received up to two weeks prior to a PSI event start-date, the event registration fee will be refunded less 25% administrative charge. After this date, no refunds will be possible. A handling fee of 20 GBP per registration will be charged for every registration modification received two weeks prior or less, including a delegate name change.
Careers Meetings
PSI Training Course: Use of Historical Data in Clinical Trials: An Evidence Synthesis Approach
Date: Monday 24th - Thursday 27th January 2022 Time: Lectures 09:00-12:00 on the 24th & 27th. Separate forum setup for practical exercises between the 24th-26th. Speakers: Sebastian Weber and Gaëlle Saint-Hilary
Who is this event intended for? All statisticians working on clinical trials, with a basic knowledge of R. Some notions of Bayesian statistics could be helpful. What is the benefit of attending? Attendees will have the chance to cover; Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing designs based on the meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model; Design planning, operating characteristics, statistical analysis; and Applications using the R package RBesT.
Course Cost
Regular Members = £340+VAT Regular Non-Members = £465*+VAT
*Please note: Non-Member rates include PSI membership until 31 Dec. 2022.
There is an intrinsic interest of leveraging all available information for an efficient design and analysis of clinical trials. Including external data in the analysis of clinical trials may increase study power or allow for the reduction of (usually) the control group sample size. The use of external data in trials are nowadays used in earlier phases of drug development (Trippa, Rosnerand Muller, 2012; French, Thomas and Wang, 2012; Hueber et al., 2012; Smith et al., 2019), occasionally in phase III trials (French et al., 2012; Viele et al., 2018), and also in special areas such as medical devices (FDA, 2010a), orphan indications (Dupont and Van Wilder, 2011) and extrapolation in pediatric studies (Berry, 1989; Best et al., 2019). This allows adequately powered trials at smaller sample sizes leading to faster trial conduct and exposure of fewer patients to a potentially in-effective control treatment.
In this short course, we will provide a statistical framework to incorporate external information into a trial. During the first part of the course, we will introduce Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing designs based on the meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model (Neuenschwander et al., 2010). The MAP model is a Bayesian hierarchical model, which combines the evidence from different potentially heterogeneous sources. Dynamic borrowing permits to limit the use of historical data when it is incompatible with the data observed within the trial.
In the second part of the course, we will propose a practice session with applications using the R package RBesT, the R Bayesian evidence synthesis tools, which are freely available from CRAN. These exercises will enable participants to apply the presented approach themselves. During third and last part of the course, more advanced topics will be detailed such as effective and maximum sample sizes, advanced operating characteristics, and probability of success.
Agenda
Lecture session 1 (morning of Monday 24th January (09:00-12:00))
• Meta-analytic predictive (MAP) model
• Robustification for dynamic borrowing
• Design planning, operating characteristics
• Final analysis Practice sessions (afternoon of Monday 24th, all day Tuesday 25th, all day Wednesday 26th)
• Supervised homework, set-up in a separate forum Lecture session 2 (morning of Thursday 27th January (09:00-12:00))
• Effective sample size, maximum sample size
• Advanced operating characteristics
• Equivalence between MAP and MAC (Meta-analysis combined)
• Probability of success, decision rule
Speaker details
Speaker
Biography
Gaëlle Saint-Hilary
Gaëlle Saint-Hilary is Statistical Methodologist, CEO and founder of the consulting company Saryga (France). Prior to this role, Gaëlle was Statistical Methodologist at Servier until December 2021. With more than 15 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry (Servier, Novartis) and a strong and long-lasting collaboration with academia, Gaëlle Saint-Hilary is an expert in Bayesian statistics and decision-making support. She has worked at developing novel approaches to improve drug development’s performances, and her main scientific interests are quantitative decision-making, benefit-risk assessment, innovative study designs and historical data.
Sebastian Weber
Sebastian Weber is working as Director in the Department of Advanced Methodology and Data Science at Novartis. He holds a PhD in Physics from the TU Darmstadt and joined Novartis 8+ years ago. He has worked extensively on enabling the use of historical (control) information in clinical trials through consulting and working on tools to facilitate the application of historical control information from trial design to analysis. Furthermore, Sebastian has experience in designing Oncology phase I dose-escalation trails and is also involved in pediatric drug development programs, where he applies extrapolation concepts. His research interests include the application of pharmacometrics in statistics, model-based drug development and application of Bayesian methods for drug development.
Disclaimer
PSI is a non-profit organisation run by volunteers. Many of the event organisers and presenters donate their time, while the majority of the event registration cost is spent on administrative support, venue rental / online conferencing, travel costs for the presenter, software licences, and general running of the society. PSI strives to offer high quality courses, but cannot offer a guarantee that the content presented is accurate or fit for your particular needs. Please check if any software is required for this course and ensure you are able to run it prior to registering.
Cancellation and Moderation Terms For cancellations received up to two weeks prior to a PSI event start-date, the event registration fee will be refunded less 25% administrative charge. After this date, no refunds will be possible. A handling fee of 20 GBP per registration will be charged for every registration modification received two weeks prior or less, including a delegate name change.
Upcoming Events
PSI Introduction to Industry Training (ITIT) Course - 2025/2026
An introductory course giving an overview of the pharmaceutical industry and the drug development process as a whole, aimed at those with 1-3 years' experience. It comprises of six 2-day sessions covering a range of topics including Research and Development, Toxicology, Data Management and the Role of a CRO, Clinical Trials, Reimbursement, and Marketing.
Joint PSI/EFSPI Visualisation SIG 'Wonderful Wednesday' Webinars
Our monthly webinar explores examples of innovative data visualisations relevant to our day to day work. Each month a new dataset is provided from a clinical trial or other relevant example, and participants are invited to submit a graphic that communicates interesting and relevant characteristics of the data.
Urgent Meeting: Medical Statistician Apprenticeship Scheme
The UK government have recently announced that level 7 apprenticeships must be fully funded by the employer from January 2026, for any apprentice over the age of 21. With funding for MSc's at an all time low, and universities courses facing closures, the apprenticeship scheme remains as important as ever, as a tool to encourage new statisticians into our industry. In this dedicated meeting, Valerie Millar (chair of the apprenticeship scheme) will provide full updates on the government changes and seek feedback and ideas from employers, universities and apprentices on how to keep this scheme successfully running for many years to come.
PSI Webinar: Methodology and first results of the iRISE (improving Reproducibility In SciencE) consortium
This 1-hour webinar will be an opportunity to hear about the methodology and first results of the iRISE consortium. iRISE is working towards a better understanding of reproducibility and the interventions that work to improve it. At the end of the presentation there will also be the opportunity to ask questions.
One-day Event: Change Management for Moving to R/Open-Source
This one-day event focuses on the comprehensive management of transitioning to R/Open-Source, addressing the challenges and providing actionable insights. Attendees will participate in sessions covering essential topics such as training best practices, creating strategic plans, making the case to senior management, and managing both statistical and programming aspects of the transition.
PSI Book Club - The Art of Explanation: How to Communicate with Clarity and Confidence
Develop your non-technical skills by reading The Art of Explanation by Ros Atkins and joining the Sept-Dec 2025 book club. You will be invited to join facilitated discussions of the concepts and ideas and apply skills from the book in-between sessions.
This course is aimed at biostatisticians with no or some pediatric drug development experience who are interested to further their understanding. We will give you an introduction to the pediatric drug development landscape. This will include identifying the key regulations and processes governing pediatric development, a discussion on the needs and challenges when conducting pediatric research and a focus on the ways to overcome these challenges from a statistical perspective.
This networking event is aimed at statisticians that are new to the pharmaceutical industry who wish to meet colleagues from different companies and backgrounds.
EFSPI/PSI Causal Inference SIG Webinar: Instrumental Variable Methods
The webinar is targeted at statisticians working in the pharmaceutical industry, and the objective is to 1) provide a basic understanding of IV methodology including how it relates to causal inference, and 2) present two inspirational pharma-relevant applications.
This networking event is aimed at statisticians that are new to the pharmaceutical industry who wish to meet colleagues from different companies and backgrounds.
This is an exciting, new opportunity for an experienced Statistician looking to take the next step in their career. Offered as a remote or hybrid position aligned with our site in Harrogate, North Yorkshire.